Upcoming Bye Weeks
Week 12: ARI, KC
Week 13: CAR, CLE, GB, TEN
Week 14: IND, MIA, NE, PHI
Cam put up a solid performance in his first game back with Carolina. The WFT defense is playing much better as the season progresses and is actually performing better since Chase Young went down. Cam has a solid matchup with Miami in Week 12 before his bye. When you pick up Cam keep in mind that he will be unavailable next week so be prepared. After his Bye, Cam lines up Atlanta, Buffalo, Tampa Bay, & New Orleans to end the year. I’ll ride his high floor through the playoffs.
Heinicke racked up another very solid game throwing for 3 TDs and rushing for 29 yards on the ground. Carolina was the #2 ranked defense in the NFL before this game and Heinicke looked like a pro. He gets Seattle, Vegas, & Dallas the next 3 weeks to end the fantasy football regular season.
The Texans just upset the Titans in Tennessee this past week. Tyrod played very good football even if he only threw for 107 yards. His floor came on the ground where he ran for 28 yards and 2 scores. The 2 scores won’t be there every week but I do still expect the Texans to be playing from behind more often than not.
Mac isn’t in the type of offense that is going to let him put up massive numbers to be viable for fantasy but he gets the Titans this week. This game has major implications as the Patriots are surprisingly fighting for a top seed in the AFC. Vrabel will pull out all of the stops against his former team so Mac may be forced to throw a bit more than usual. The Titans defense strong point is their pass rush which will be negated by the Patriots elite OL. Mac offers a solid floor with a limited ceiling in Week 12.
Ty Johnson bombed in Week 11 after some very consistent stat lines. He is high on this list because Michael Carter went down with an injury late in this game and is expected to miss 2-3 weeks. The Jets get the Texans in Week 12 which is a very winnable game. If Joe Flacco continues to helm the team at QB, Johnson could be the beneficiary of all of Flacco’s dump off passes.
David Johnson played 55% of the snaps in a game in which they were winning. If the Texans are losing, he very well should eclipse a 65% share with all of the air work. They figure to be losing more than winning as the season progresses but they get the lowly Jets in Week 12 which should be a close game. The Texans also just cut Lindsay, who was Johnson’s biggest competition. They will fill that void with Burkhead and Freeman who are both “okay” backs in their own respect but Johnson still has more juice in the tank.
Lindsay was cut by the Texans. I expect the Ravens to swoop in and snag him. This one is certainly a gamble but the Ravens tried getting him right before the deadline but didn’t want to absorb his $1M salary. He immediately becomes the Ravens best runner and fits the scheme perfectly. Lindsay could absolutely go somewhere he is useless and be a quick drop but for a guy to be valuable this late in the season is rare unless it’s a true cuff.
Dallas out performed Collins and concluded the game with the same snap percentage as Collins. He also saw 2 targets in the air. The Seahawks won’t give up on the season until they absolutely have to but they are going to want to see what they have in Dallas rather than the known commodity in Collins.
Piggy backing on Moore from last week, I would gobble him up where you can. He is still widely available across 60% of ESPN leagues. Moore saw an elite workload of 11 targets, snagging 8 of them for 141 yards. A lot of those yards came on his 62 yard score in the 3rd quarter Sunday but that just shows his big play ability. He should continue to grow through the end of the year.
Lamb left the game Sunday with a concussion and Amari will miss the Thanksgiving game. It is certainly possible Lamb is back by Thursday but concussions are tough on short weeks and I would lean on him to sit. This elevates Wilson to the WR2 spot for this team. He has experience with Dak so this should be a seamless transition for Week 12. Once Amari and Lamb return Wilson will be rendered useless barring another injury. For Week 12 he is a WR3 with upside.
He is still widely available in over 50% of leagues. He is acting as the #2 until OBJ gets up to speed. I expect him to play the Woods role and OBJ to take over Van’s older role. Van will offer a consistent floor and 6+ targets per game going forward.
Toney saw great volume with 12 targets in the blow-out loss to the Bucs on MNF. The Giants OC Jason Garrett was shown the door so there is more optimism that Toney grows in this offense. Even on the 12 targets, he was only able to pull in 7 for 40 yards and no scores.
Smith hasn’t put up the numbers yet but he is operating as the Saints #1 WR. He is seeing a 23% target share and running 55% of his snaps in the slot. The numbers point towards fantasy production as the Saints are projected to be playing from behind on Thanksgiving against the Bills.
Goodwin will be operating as the #2 WR behind Mooney on Thanksgiving. Dalton is expected to be the starter with Fields likely unable to go on a short week. There are massive rumblings that Nagy will be out after the game Thursday regardless of the outcome. I am in line with the Lions upsetting the Bears here and could see a higher volume than usual for Dalton. He was clicking with Goodwin when he came in late against the Ravens Sunday and I see that continuing against the Lions.
If he is available, he needs to be snagged up. It is a brutal stretch here on TEs as it is drying up quickly. An already difficult position is narrowing on the late season pick-ups who can lead your team to a title. Thomas is expected to return to practice this week and is eligible to come off the IR and possibly return Sunday. Keep in mind this is a hamstring injury so re-injuries are common with that type of issue.
Hooper offers a solid floor in this awful TE environment. He has seen 5+ targets in 3 of the Browns last 4 games while averaging 10.9 full PPR points the last 2 weeks.
The volume just isn’t there for Uzomah to contribute on a weekly basis but he is seeing anywhere from 3-5 targets a game. He hasn’t scored since Week 7 against the Ravens but he still offers at least something if you are in urgent need of a fill in guy for Kelce this week.
Njoku burned us earlier in the year laying a goose egg the week I recommended him since the Browns were short-handed that week. Well the Browns are living short-handed and Njoku is still under performing. He has seen an average of 3.5 targets a game the last 4 weeks so in an emergency flier situation he could hit pay dirt and get you a quick 10 points.
Parham saw his largest target share of the season in Week 11 pulling in 4 of his 5 targets for 38 yards. He is the most talented TE on the Chargers roster but this situation is still a bit muddied as a 3 way committee. This week’s waivers for the TE position are brutal so we’re scraping the bottom of the barrel here.
The Eagles have scored a defensive score in 3 of their last 4 games. They are starting to roll and establishing their identity as a run-first team who plays solid defense while making plays. They get the mistake-prone Giants in Week 12 who can’t protect their QB while the Giants staff seems unlikely to make it through the season.
Dallas gets the Raiders on Thanksgiving in Week 12. A month ago they wouldn’t imagine playing a defense against the high scoring Raiders but since they lost Ruggs, they have scored 16, 14, and 13 points. They can’t keep Carr upright and the Cowboys pass rush is coming on strong.
Writing this out makes me want to puke but the Bears are spiraling downwards. They’re solid rumors this is Nagy’s last game as the HC of the Bears. This isn’t a situation where the team rallies around their coach to prove a point. They have been HORRID lately and have shown consistent inability to properly prepare for a game. Andy Dalton will be running the offense and a statue behind the awful Chicago OL. Ever since Campbell took over plays for the Lions, they have been controlling the clock and playing excellent defense. I’m on the Lions side of this one.
The Football Team is playing very well on defense since their Bye. They have lost 2 of their elite lineman in that time frame so you may ask why they are playing better without them. This is due to the great coaching of Jack Del Rio. I’ve seen rumors that Chase Young didn’t stick to his assignments and constantly tried to play super hero and it left holes in their defense as he wasn’t getting him to the tune of 1.5 sacks. Now the WFT is running with guys who are doing as the coach asks and are making plays against good competition. This week they get the Seahawks at home on MNF and while one team is about to be looking forward to 2022 the WFT is looking for another late season surge to make a playoff run.
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